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/09 PUBLISHED 2022 SDSC 2022

Urban Sprawl — satellites watching cities grow.

Multi-year satellite analysis quantifying urban sprawl trajectories at the city scale. Segmentation fused with change detection to produce longitudinal sprawl indices.

Years analyzed
15
2005–2020
Cities
3
Pakistan
Pipeline stages
4
Seg · Change · Index · Viz
Correlation
r=0.89
vs census growth
§ 01
PROBLEM

What it had to solve.

Urban growth indicators from census data lag by 5–10 years in developing cities. Planners need something more responsive — and globally consistent.

§ 02
APPROACH

How it works.

Landsat imagery from 2005–2020 is segmented frame-by-frame; change detection between adjacent years produces "growth pixels"; a sprawl index aggregates to the municipal level.

§ 03
RESULTS

What it delivered.

Derived sprawl indices correlated with census growth (r = 0.89) while providing annual resolution — five years ahead of the next census.